This mild inflation uptick reflects a mix of forces. Energy costs fell, with gasoline leading the decline, while food and shelter costs rose. Core CPI (excluding food and energy) also edged up 2.8% year-over-year, with a modest 0.1% monthly gain.
Why it matters:
- Fed policy on pause? With inflation close to the Fed’s 2% target, but core inflation still sticky, rate cuts remain unlikely in the short term.
- Tariff impacts delayed: Despite recent tariffs, price pressures haven’t fully materialized—suggesting companies are absorbing costs or selling older inventory.
- Markets reacting: Wall Street showed modest gains as traders weighed trade-war headlines against tame inflation.
Stay alert: macro shifts often set the stage before crypto traders react.
